ความต้องการกำลังคนด้านสุขภาพเพื่อรองรับผู้สูงอายุที่มีภาวะพึ่งพิงในอนาคต

Nonglak Pagaiya; Siriphan Sasat; Wasinee Wisesrith

Authors

Nonglak Pagaiya Faculty of Public Health, Khon Kaen University
Siriphan Sasat Faculty of Nursing, HRH Princess Chulabhorn College of Medical Science
Wasinee Wisesrith Faculty of Nursing, Chulalongkorn University

Keywords:

health workforce, long term care services, home health care, care givers

Abstract

The study aimed to project the health workforce requirements to provide long term care for the dependent older people in Thailand. The descriptive study comprised 2 steps, primary and secondary data collection and forecasting for health workforce requirements for the long term care services. Survey conducted at 66 public and private long term care institutions and 130 care managers (CMs) looking after home health care services. Self-administered questionnaires comprised questions in relation to service provision, health workforce, quantity of services and time used were applied. The health need method was used to project the health workforce requirements for home health care services and the population ratio method was then employed to project the health workforce requirements for institutional care. Health workforces included in the projection were: CM, nurses, doctors, physiotherapists, social workers, nurse assistants and care givers (CGs). The results showed that when service utilization at institutional care increased at 10-20% each year, the requirements for CM, nurses, physiotherapists, doctors, social workers, nurse assistants and CG in 2030 would be 37,235-37,636; 29,520-30,499; 4,858- 5,260; 3,555-4,000; 338-740; 1,613-3,529; and 126,542-134,312 respectively. Comparing to health workforce supply of the whole country, it is likely that there would be a critical shortage of nurse and CM.

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